Club Biomed &endash; Meeting Minutes
&endash; 19 Nov 2003
Welcome and monthly contribution collections. We asked
partners to share ideas or thoughts about companies we own or might
want to own.
John and Carlos reported on the status of Club Biomed's real
portfolio & indexes.
- Club Biomed Portfolio up 3.75% (last month, 2.5 %)
- with a $4012 cash
- Club Biomed shares $ 28.05 down from $28.42
- Mutual funds up 5.25 % (from 5.02 %)
- Random walk up 53.2% (from 61.56 %)
- Virtual one up 168% (from 182.5 %)
Establishment of our 2003-4 audit committee. Judy will act
as chair and she will work with Michelle, and Laura. They will get
information about how the committee should function and then arrange
to meet with Carlos. They will Report at the January meeting.
Educational presentations: Financial analysis 202 by John.
John described some of the basic principals from the book, The
Intelligent Investor, by Ben Graham and discussed the difference
between an 'investor' and a speculator. He then described the three
types of financial tables used by companies to report on their
financial health. He went into detail about the balance sheet and
provided tow examples. He described how earnings, plus other factors
are important parts of determining a stock's price.
Quick presentations focusing on binary events.
- PGNX. Johanna described this as a new company, Progenics,
that is near the end of testing an opiate derivative that would
act in the periphery, but would not cross the blood brain barrier.
Such a product would have many applications and could be valuable
and profitable. The one issue she has is that the company has
little money to develop the product once it is approved and there
is another company that has a product with similar properties and
at a similar stage.
- VRTX from Connie. Connie reported that Vertex just released
results of a clinical trial that was a failure, resulting in a
dramatic fall in stock prices. The other potential products are
very far from being approved, so the company is not a good
candidate for binary event analysis in the next year or two. Her
report will be posted on our web site.
- Proposal to purchase. Amylin from Connie, & Carlos,
(Carrie & Imke couldn't make it). Carlos thought the
financials of the company were reasonable (no funny business), but
AMLN is losing money. As suggested by Connie last month, he felt
their major candidate drug was valuable (would be used by many
diabetics) and would probably be approved in the next month or so.
He recommended buying about 100 shares with the intent of selling it
after the bump up in price. He thought we should put in a sell
order in case the news was bad. The partners voted to purchase
100 shares. Only John was opposed to the purchase because he
thought the market cap was high and success was already built into
the price. He said we were speculating, but most partners were
comfortable doing this. The group wants to sell if news is bad or
the stock drops more than 4 or 5 dollars. The vote to sell
automatically was defeated with the argument that we could decide
this in January.
A report from the Binary event Committee and discussion of the
agenda for next month's meeting had to be postponed
Planned Agenda items for January meeting:
- An educational presentation on reading a financial statements
(by Gus K or by John).
- Report from the binary events committee.
- Opportunity to add stocks to our model portfolios (we have
been neglecting them!)
-- submitted by John Wagner